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Missives from a media business geek

Google OpenSocial a Facebook killer

Word is now out that a led alliance will launch OpenSocial on Thursday. OpenSocial is a common set of standards to allow software developers to write programs for ’s social network, , as well as others, including declared partners , , , and . Unlike which uses its own markup language, developers for OpenSocial will be free to use Flash, html and javascript.

By pulling together with with and , who are moving to let third-party programmers write applications that can be accessed by their customers, hopes to create a rival platform that could have broad appeal to developers. The alliance and partner pact potentially has a combined 100 million users, more than double the size of .

recently took a $240million stake in , valuing the media darling social site at $15billion, despite the fact that it does not make money.

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Skinkers raises $16million

, the leaders in Information Broadcast technology, have raised $16m in their second round of funding. The funding comes from lead investor Acacia Capital Partners, existing investor SPARK Ventures and Management team. will use the funding to further develop their enterprise-wide communication platform business, enhance their Live Notification Platform technology and bring to market Livestation, the world’s first interactive global broadcast network for live television and radio.

Based on peer-to-peer technology originally developed at Laboratories in Cambridge in the UK, Livestation delivers live audio and video using a simple software application.

CEO is Matteo Berlucchi. hold a 10% stake.

www.skinkers.com

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Zopa Listings may end in tears

Zopa , the peer to peer online lending service, has launched Listings, allowing borrowers to request a loan and lenders to compete to make a loan.

Individuals post their request for a loan giving details of the amount they want to borrow, preferred interest rate and their name, age, job etc. Lenders who like the look of the request get to bid in an auction, offering the amount and the best interest rate they are prepared to make. make an identity and credit checks of individuals. Successful borrowers pay 0.5% of the value of the loan and lenders pay 0.5% of the value of their loans per year, as an annual charge to .

Risky business.

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One week to Hulu

Its one week to go to the launch of , the joint venture of General Electric’s Universal and Rupert Murdoch’s . is a free, advertising-supported video download service which will also feature shows from Television and Studios Inc.

Potentially an iTunes video killer, on Monday, will open a private Beta test and offer about 90 TV shows from the four companies and smaller partners ranging from current prime-time hits such as “Heroes” and “The Simpsons” to vintage shows “Miami Vice” and “The A-Team”. It will also make about 10 feature films available including “The Breakfast Club” and “The Blues Brothers.”
Shortly after the test begins, these shows will also be made available on a handful of the biggest online distributors Time Warner Inc’s AOL, Comcast Corp, ’s MSN and Yahoo.

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Comment: Second tech meltdown on its way?

Once upon a time there was a company with no credible revenue, who’s entire service is based on a social fad, has no technological advantage and that has no clear business strategy. Along comes a company with deep pockets who is desperate to create momentum and gain the initiative in the sector. The result is a very large investment which puts a very large valuation on a potentially worthless company.

Question: What happens next?

Answer: The second meltdown of the tech sector.

Whilst ’s recent $240million investment in may ultimately be a small but significant step forward for , valuing the social networking site at a nose-bleed height of $15billion should be sending shock-waves across the web industry, an industry merrily heading for the cliff edge like lemmings. The investment is bound to feed expectations in the sector which in turn will feed an investment reaction based on fear - the fear of missing out on the next big thing. The result will be a flurry of investments in start-up companies that are either ‘me-too’ or hopelessly optimistic. Eventually the investors will realize that they have little chance of recovering their money, and like the Kings New Clothes, the game will be up and Web2.0 will go the way of Web1.0.

As it stands the common Web2.0 strategy appears to consist no more than rapidly building a user base and then sell the company to one of the big players or to sucker an investment company. Maybe we will have to wait until Web3.0 before we see solid business cases for start-ups in the sector. Plans based not on spin and rapid exit strategies, but based on solid commercial principles.

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